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The Macalope Daily: Doubling down

The Macalope | Sept. 20, 2012
[Editor's Note: The Macalope Daily is an exclusive benefit for our Macworld Insider members, but is being made available to all Macworld readers for a limited time. To learn more about this and other features, visit our Macworld Insider information page.]

On Monday, the Macalope took exception to a piece by Southern California Public Radio's Matthew DeBord on how the iPhone 5 was five inches of fail in a 4-inch phone. Now DeBord has fired back with "3 reasons why the iPhone 5 will still fail."

Sigh. Is this going to be a thing, Matthew? People are going to talk.

I prefaced it all by stressing that I was taking a contrarian position, but I got called out big time for my contrarianism, both in the comments and, more recently, by the Macalope over at Macworld.

Well, saying you're being a contrarian doesn't inure you from criticism. Being a contrarian means you take an opinion contrary to popular belief, not one contrary to all evidence.

Now, if you had said it was parody, well, that would have made more sense.

The Macalope then sets about dismantling my Fail! arguments. The thread of reasoning that undergirds it all is that the iPhone 5 won't fail because the iPhone 4S wasn't failing. All the stuff that Apple was being urged to do with the iPhone 5 was kinda sorta unnecessary because the iPhone 4S was still plenty popular. They didn't even need the stinkin' iPhone 5!

The Macalope doesn't quite agree with your summarization of his argument--the point was more that people have said every iPhone since 2007 would fail and here we are, but let's let that lie and proceed to fresher, more happenin' material than this moldy stuff from earlier this week.

Nevertheless, there remain reasons why the Apple iPhone 5 could fail:

Ah! Now we're at "could"! See, Matthew, "could" is different than "will," which is not only what you said previously but what's in your headline. Really. Those words have different meanings. You can look them up.

It won't make the big fourth quarter number.

DeBord calls Apple's record-breaking pre-orders a "neat trick" and notes:

A stunning debut won't matter if Apple doesn't take it to the finish line. That's where markets are looking for growth, and for Apple, the bar is high here.

Well, sure, but record pre-orders is still a positive early indicator and the markets sure seem pretty optimistic. It's possible sales could plummet after the launch, but the horny one sees no reason why the iPhone 5 won't be a hot holiday item.

Also, let's remember the iPhone 4 which is now "free." It is, of course, not really free, you just don't pay up front for it. Apple still makes money on it and it and the now cheaper iPhone 4S still count as iPhone sales.

iPhone 5 users will be stuck with a behind-the-curve phone for 2 years.


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