The growth of cloud and industrialised services, and the decline of traditional data centre outsourcing (DCO) indicate a massive shift toward hybrid infrastructure services, according to Gartner.
In a recent report, analysts said that by 2020, cloud, hosting and traditional infrastructure services will come in more or less at par in terms of spending. The analysts also predicted that by 2020, 90 per cent of companies will adopt hybrid infrastructure management capabilities.
"As the demand for agility and flexibility grows, organisations will shift toward more industrialised, less-tailored options," said Gartner research director, DD Mishra.
"Organisations that adopt hybrid infrastructure will optimise costs and increase efficiency. However, it increases the complexity of selecting the right tool-set to deliver end-to-end services in a multi-sourced environment."
Strong upswing in favour of cloud and infrastructure-as-a-service
In Australia, the traditional DCO market is flat, according to Gartner's forecast data. Traditional DCO spending is expected to decline slightly from $2.9 billion in 2016 to $2.85 billion in 2020.
Cloud compute services, on the other hand, are expected to grow from $348 million in 2016 to reach $572 million in 2020.
Gartner said spending on colocation and hosting is also expected to increase, from $359 million in 2016 to $392 million in 2020. In addition, infrastructure utility services (IUS) will grow from $387 million in 2016 to $522 million in 2020 and storage-as-a-service will increase from $62 million in 2016 to $72 million in 2020.
In 2016, traditional worldwide DCO and IUS together represented 49 per cent of the US$154 billion total data centre services market worldwide, consisting of DCO/IUS, hosting and cloud infrastructure as a service (IaaS).
This is expected to tilt further toward cloud IaaS and hosting, and by 2020, DCO/IUS will be roughly 35 per cent of the expected US$228 billion worldwide data centre services market.
"This means that by 2020 traditional services will coexist with a minority share alongside the industrialised and digitalised services," added Mishra.
Additionally, Gartner predicts that through 2020, data centre and relevant "as a service" (aaS) pricing will continue to decline by at least 10 per cent per year.
From 2008 through 2016, Gartner pricing analysis of data centre service offerings shows prices have dropped yearly by five per cent to seven per cent for large deals and by nine per cent to 12 percent for smaller deals.
More recently - from 2012 to the present - prices for the new as-a-service offerings, including IaaS and storage as a service, have dropped in similar to higher ranges.
Traditional DCO vendors will exit the DCO market due to price pressure, while others will develop solution capabilities and continue to compete. Buyers will have the ability to choose between many more vendors, choose traditional or new solutions and achieve price reductions year over year through 2020.
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