Subscribe / Unsubscribe Enewsletters | Login | Register

Pencil Banner

Five reasons the U.S. tech lead is in danger

Patrick Thibodeau | Nov. 24, 2011
There is a worldwide race to build the next generation of supercomputers, but U.S. efforts have stalled.

Europe has other exascale developments in progress, including one using Intel technology.

Ramirez said the Barcelona effort is now two-years-old, and the ultimate goal is to build a system that can reach exascale performance at reasonable power levels. But he also sees European-wide goals in this effort.

"There is an opportunity to keep embedded and high performance industry in Europe in the front line," said Ramirez. "There is a clear convergence between embedded technology and high performance computing technology."

4: If the U.S. doesn't lead in exascale, what happens when planning for zetascale begins?

A computer science freshman today should know in four years the pathway to an exascale system. By the time this same student completes his or her graduate work, there will be discussion about a zetascale system, something that's one thousand times more powerful.

If high performance computing maintains its historic development pattern, a zetascale system can be expected around 2030. But no one knows what a zetascale system will look like, or whether it's even possible. Zetascale computing may require entirely new approaches, such as quantum computing.

The White House says it doesn't want to be in an "arms race" in building ever faster computers, and warned in a report a year ago this month that a focus on speed "could divert resources away from basic research aimed at developing the fundamentally new approaches to HPC that could ultimately allow us to 'leapfrog' other nations."

But the U.S. is in a computing arms race whether it wants it or not. To develop technology that leapfrogs other nations, the U.S. will need sustained basic research funding as well as building an exascale system.

"A lot of countries have realized that one of the reasons the U.S. became so great was because of things like federally funded research," said Luis von Ahn, an associate professor of computer science at Carnegie Mellon University and a staff research scientist at Google, in an earlier interview . "There are lot of countries that are trying to really invest in science and technology. I think it's important to continue funding that in the U.S. Otherwise it is just going to lose the edge -- it's as simple as that. "

5: The U.S. hasn't explained what's at stake.

President Barack Obama was the first U.S. president to mention exascale computing, but he didn't really explain the potential of such systems.

Supercomputers can help scientists create models, at an atomic level, of human cells and how a virus may attack them. They can be used to model earthquakes and help find ways to predict them, as well design structures that can withstand them. They are increasingly used by industry to create products and test them in virtual environments.


Previous Page  1  2  3  4  Next Page 

Sign up for Computerworld eNewsletters.